Swiss economy
Swiss exporters look to China as new trade deal nears
Switzerland and China have negotiated an upgraded trade agreement that would eventually remove tariffs on 99.8% of current Swiss exports. The story should assess the opportunities for exporters alongside concerns about dependence and worsening trade relations with the US and EU.

Swiss exporters seize a new opening in China
99.8% of Swiss exports to China could eventually become duty free, giving exporters a significant opening as trade conditions deteriorate elsewhere. Economy Minister Guy Parmelin and Chinese Commerce Minister Wang Wentao announced the conclusion of negotiations in Bern on Thursday and signed a memorandum of understanding.
The revised agreement still requires formal signature and approval by the Swiss Parliament. The government expects the deal to save Swiss companies around CHF 244 million annually. Roughly three quarters of the new tariff concessions would apply when the agreement takes effect. Other reductions, including those covering cheese, would be introduced over as long as ten years.
The pact updates the free trade agreement that Switzerland became the first European country to sign with China. That agreement has operated since 2014, helping establish China as Switzerland's third largest trading partner. Its tariff coverage, however, remained narrow. Only 53.8% of Swiss goods exports currently enter China without customs duties.
The timing matters for companies in watches, pharmaceuticals, food and coffee. Washington has announced tariffs of up to 12.5% on some Swiss goods, while Brussels has raised duties on Swiss steel. The China deal offers exporters another route to market, although it also places renewed focus on how far Switzerland should deepen its commercial exposure to Beijing.
Watches and medicines stand to gain first
Swiss watches could move from near exclusion to full tariff access under the revised terms. The watch industry has been one of the clearest beneficiaries in prospect, since only about 1% of Swiss timepieces currently avoid Chinese duties. The Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry estimates that tariffs cost companies approximately CHF 100 million a year.
Lower duties would improve the price position of manufacturers in the Chinese market, but tariff relief will not restore demand by itself. Swiss watch exports to China fell by one third between the start of 2024 and the end of 2025. Sales were down another 7.1% in the first half of this year, according to the industry federation.
Philippe Pegorar, its chief economist, linked the weakness to the deterioration of China's financial environment and fiscal tightening affecting wealthy consumers. He also pointed to difficulties in the property sector, which accounts for a significant share of Chinese economic output.
Pharmaceutical companies could gain from wider concessions, while cheese and coffee producers would receive improved access under longer or more complicated schedules. The agreement creates room for Swiss brands to compete on price. It does not guarantee that Chinese consumers will return to previous spending patterns.